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Yet Another Sleepy Divergence Forms in NYSE Market Internals

Mon, Mar 8, 5:51 PM ET, by Corey Rosenbloom

I’m never one to pass up mentioning a key negative divergence in price and market internals, and we had another one set-in on today’s market action.

Divergences aren’t perfect, so let’s look at the structure of the most recent development, this time using the NYSE Index itself to compare to its internals.

Usually, I show the S&P 500 in relation to market internals - and the picture is identical, only the S&P 500 is forming its divergence at the 1,140/1,145 level instead of the 7,300 NYSE Index level.

I prefer using NYSE Internals because they give a broader measure than the 500 stocks in the S&P 500… and most large media outlets quote the NYSE internals in their discussions.

Even though we made a marginal new high today in all indexes (the Russell and NASDAQ made new recovery highs), all new highs were met with a decline or a negative divergence in key market internals, as shown above.

I monitor the Breadth (NYSE Advancing stocks minus declining stocks), TICK, and Volume Difference (volume flowing into advancing stocks minus volume flowing into declining stocks).

Along with volume, these give a great view of the “insides” of the market and have an uncanny skill in hinting that reversals/retracements are ahead (meaning, take profits!).

The prior negative divergence (March 2 - 3) did very little downside action (highlighting that internals are not a crystal ball tot he future), but Thursday’s (March 4th) slight positive divergence did precede the nice rally on Friday.

Now we’re in a consolidation or ‘digestion’ mode to work-off some of those gains, and it might be a good time to take off profits if long and consider shorting any trendline breaks in the indexes or ETFs you trade in the event that this divergence does produce a market decline to test a prior support level.

If anything, it’s always important to monitor the signals from market internals, even in the face of this seemingly non-stop bullish move we’re seeing currently.

Corey Rosenbloom, CMT
Afraid to Trade.com

Follow Corey on Twitter: http://twitter.com/afraidtotrade

blog.afraidtotrade.com


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This Article's Word Cloud:   Advancing   Along   Corey   Index   Internals   March   NYSE   Trade   Usually   above   action   advancing   afraidtotrade   ahead   aren   bullish   currently   decline   declining   divergence   face   flowing   give   have   highs   indexes   insides   internals   into   level   made   market   minus   monitor   most   negative   precede   prior   profits   relation   seemingly   stocks   take   that   this   time   today   using   volume   with

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