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TOL Crosses Above Average Analyst Target

Thu, Oct 12, 9:14 AM ET, by ETF Channel

In recent trading, shares of Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $43.06, changing hands for $43.18/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade on valuation, or, re-adjust their target price to a higher level. Analyst reaction may also depend on the fundamental business developments that may be responsible for driving the stock price higher if things are looking up for the company, perhaps it is time for that target price to be raised.

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10
ETFs With Most Upside To Analyst Targets

There are 8 different analyst targets contributing to that average for Toll Brothers Inc., but the average is just that a mathematical average. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one looking for a price of $39.00. And then on the other side of the spectrum one analyst has a target as high as $48.00. The standard deviation is $2.981.

But the whole reason to look at the average TOL price target in the first place is to tap into a "wisdom of crowds" effort, putting together the contributions of all the individual minds who contributed to the ultimate number, as opposed to what just one particular expert believes. And so with TOL crossing above that average target price of $43.06/share, investors in TOL have been given a good signal to spend fresh time assessing the company and deciding for themselves: is $43.06 just one stop on the way to an even higher target, or has the valuation gotten stretched to the point where it is time to think about taking some chips off the table? Below is a table showing the current thinking of the analysts that cover Toll Brothers Inc.:

Recent TOL Analyst Ratings Breakdown
Current 1 Month Ago 2 Month Ago 3 Month Ago
Strong buy ratings: 5 6 6 6
Buy ratings: 2 2 2 1
Hold ratings: 4 3 3 3
Sell ratings: 0 0 0 0
Strong sell ratings: 1 1 1 1
Average rating: 2.17 2.0 2.0 2.0

The average rating presented in the last row of the above table above is from 1 to 5 where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Strong Sell. This article used data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com. Get the latest Zacks research report on TOL FREE.

Read the original article at ETF Channel: TOL Crosses Above Average Analyst Target


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This Article's Word Cloud:   Analyst   Average   Brothers   Month   Sell   Strong   Target   There   Toll   Zacks   above   adjust   adsbygoogle   also   analyst   analysts   article   average   business   changing   company   cover   deciding   effort   expert   have   higher   just   looking   mathematical   month   price   rating   ratings   reaches   share   spend   stock   table   target   targets   that   think   time   used   valuation   what   where   wisdom   with

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