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ETF Insider: Election Jitters Drag On Stocks

Sat, Nov 3, 8:15 AM ET, by Michael Johnston

This shortened trading week got off to an encouraging start as investors digested a plateful of positive economic data. Better-than-expected consumer spending, ISM data, and nonfarm payrolls shed light on the domestic recovery, however, profit taking pressures ultimately prevailed, dragging major benchmarks into red territory on the week. With all of the good news on the table, it’s fair to say that pre-election jitters were the culprit behind Friday’s sell-off [see Free 7 Simple & Cheap All-ETF Model Portfolios].

Actionable ETF Trade Ideas

Last Week’s Actionable ETF Ideas
Ticker Position Week Performance
VIG

Long

+0.1%
XLP

Long

-1.2%
GLD

Long

-2.4%

Our picks from Monday’s Insider posted disappointing performance results as profit-taking pressures on Friday leeched away all of the gains accumulated earlier in the week. Below, we highlight how our trade ideas fared during the week [sign up for a free trial of ETFdb Pro to get actionable ETF ideas every Monday, as well as access to more than 45 all-ETF model portfolios].

Trade #1 Long VIG: Up 0.1%

This ETF got off to an encouraging start after markets resumed trading on Wednesday; VIG held above $58.50 on Wednesday and went onto settle above the $59.50 level on Thursday. While our timing was fairly spot on with this trade, unforeseen profit taking pressures on Friday knocked VIG lower to a level just barely above its opening price on the week.

Trade #2 Long XLP: Down 1.2%

This recommendation was frustrating as XLP drifted sideways on Wednesday and Thursday, oscillating between minor gains and losses during both trading sessions. On Friday, XLP failed to summit the $35.60 level as selling pressures swept over Wall Street, despite encouraging employment data.

Trade #3 Long GLD: Down 2.4%

This was our most frustrating pick on the week as gold took an unexpectedly steep tumble on Friday after nonfarm payrolls data came in well above analyst expectations. GLD stayed within our outlined range on Wednesday and Thursday as gold prices drifted sideways, however, profit taking pressures on Friday triggered our stop-loss as gold prices took a nosedive lower.

ETFdb Portfolios

Retirement ETFdb Portfolios

Our retirement portfolios posted mixed results as weakness in the equity market on Friday ate away much of the profits tacked on earlier in the week. From a year-to-date perspective, our 20 Years Til Retirement Portfolio remains at the head of the pack, while the bond-heavy Retire To Retire Portfolio continues to lag behind.

ETFdb Portfolio 1 Week 4 Week 13 Week YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
5 Years Til Retirement Portfolio 0.80% -0.90% 3.27% 9.36% 9.93% 32.64% n/a
10 Years Til Retirement Portfolio 0.89% -0.98% 4.34% 11.54% 11.44% 35.70% 9.27%
20 Years Til Retirement Portfolio 0.99% -0.81% 5.43% 14.40% 13.96% 40.54% n/a
30 Years Til Retirement Portfolio 1.14% -0.91% 5.89% 14.12% 13.77% 42.95% 2.57%
Aggressive Portfolio 0.99% -0.55% 6.82% 13.05% 11.52% n/a n/a
Cheapskate Portfolio 0.69% 1.25% 6.28% 9.99% 13.36% n/a n/a
Low Volatility Portfolio 0.21% -0.46% 2.46% 8.85% 10.79% n/a n/a
Moderate Portfolio 0.78% -0.76% 4.15% 10.82% 10.37% n/a n/a
Ready To Retire ETFdb Portfolio 0.61% -0.82% 2.01% 8.41% 8.56% 31.47% 22.54%
As Of 11-01-2012
Regional ETFdb Portfolios

Foreign equity markets ended up all over the place as a shortened trading week on Wall Street left many scrambling to take profits ahead of the weekend. Our Africa-Centric Portfolio continues to lead the way higher on the year, while the Easy-As-ABC Portfolio sits at the bottom of the barrel.

ETFdb Portfolio 1 Week 4 Week 13 Week YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Africa-Centric Portfolio 0.36% -0.74% 5.91% 15.45% 9.38% n/a n/a
Asia-Centric ETFdb Portfolio 0.34% 0.49% 6.86% 12.75% 6.44% n/a n/a
BRIC-or-Bust ETFdb Portfolio 0.31% -0.50% 8.53% 6.31% -5.60% n/a n/a
Easy-As-ABC ETFdb Portfolio 0.56% 0.06% 4.81% 5.50% 0.82% n/a n/a
Emerging & Frontier Markets ETFdb Portfolio 0.13% -0.61% 6.05% 14.14% 8.64% n/a n/a
Euro Free Europe Portfolio 0.93% -0.95% 7.10% 11.42% 8.37% n/a n/a
Ex-Europe ETFdb Portfolio 0.65% -0.61% 4.11% 10.73% 9.83% 31.82% n/a
ETFs without using U.S. securities.">Ex-U.S. Portfolio 0.85% 0.88% 8.72% 14.10% 9.86% 17.41% n/a
Global Titans ETFdb Portfolio 0.74% -0.06% 5.66% 13.13% 11.00% n/a n/a
LatAm Centric ETFdb Portfolio 0.12% 0.04% 7.91% 10.29% 4.65% n/a n/a
As Of 11-01-2012
Themed ETFdb Portfolios

From our themed strategies, the 2012 ETFdb Portfolio remains to be the strongest performer year-to-date. On the other end of the spectrum are the Cheapskate Hedge Fund Portfolio and our Sky Is Falling Portfolio, both of which are down about 2% each so far on the year.

ETFdb Portfolio 1 Week 4 Week 13 Week YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
2012 ETFdb Portfolio -0.22% -0.93% 8.84% 18.83% n/a n/a n/a
Actively-Managed ETF Portfolio 0.51% -0.37% 4.39% 10.33% 10.52% n/a n/a
AlphaDEX ETFdb Portfolio 0.94% -0.03% 7.67% 10.09% 8.61% n/a n/a
Alpha Seeker Portfolio 2.0 1.00% -1.00% 3.68% 9.14% 9.70% 35.53% n/a
Baby Boomers ETFdb Portfolio 0.33% -3.07% 6.39% 16.57% 21.14% n/a n/a
Ben Graham 50/50 Portfolio 0.44% 0.01% 4.23% 10.11% 11.80% n/a n/a
Better-Than-AGG Total Bond Market ETFdb Portfolio 0.19% 0.04% 1.41% 6.42% 6.35% n/a n/a
Black Swan Hyperinflation Portfolio 0.25% -2.35% 6.38% 4.11% -1.73% 25.80% n/a
Commodity Guru ETFdb Portfolio 0.24% -0.82% 4.99% 7.84% 2.78% n/a n/a
Cheapskate Hedge Fund ETFdb Portfolio 0.73% 0.03% 0.13% -2.24% -2.14% n/a n/a
Energy Bull ETFdb Portfolio 0.75% -1.15% 6.61% 2.15% 0.70% n/a n/a
Equal Weight ETFdb Portfolio 1.06% -0.38% 4.91% 9.22% 7.82% n/a n/a
Financials Free ETFdb Portfolio 0.70% -0.26% 4.54% 8.81% 9.98% 35.93% n/a
Futures Free Commodity ETFdb Portfolio 0.69% -1.21% 6.77% 4.85% -7.07% n/a n/a
GLD-Free Gold Bug ETFdb Portfolio 0.75% -5.09% 13.10% 4.58% -8.37% n/a n/a
Greedy When Others Are Fearful ETFdb Portfolio 0.75% 1.18% 4.70% 12.00% n/a n/a n/a
High-Tax Bracket ETF Portfolio 0.68% -1.23% 3.90% 10.41% 9.53% 29.13% n/a
High Tech ETFdb Portfolio 0.67% -4.47% 3.94% 9.63% 5.77% n/a n/a
High Yield ETFdb Portfolio 0.81% -0.20% 4.39% 13.03% 14.73% 44.08% n/a
King Dollar ETFdb Portfolio 0.48% 0.20% 3.11% 8.01% 8.57% n/a n/a
Kitchen Sink ETFdb Portfolio 0.63% -0.71% 5.68% 11.60% 9.62% n/a n/a
Monthly Dividend ETFdb Portfolio 0.52% -0.46% 3.52% 11.34% 12.87% n/a n/a
Pure Growth ETFdb Portfolio 1.22% -0.32% 5.89% n/a n/a n/a n/a
Pure Value ETFdb Portfolio 0.46% 0.21% 9.60% n/a n/a n/a n/a
RAFI ETFdb Portfolio 1.47% -0.47% 9.46% 12.07% 10.58% 28.39% -4.80%
Simple (But Effective) Safe Haven ETFdb Portfolio 0.13% -1.56% 4.06% 8.64% 7.19% 38.78% 29.48%
Small Cap ETFdb Portfolio 0.68% -0.94% 6.89% 14.64% 11.83% n/a n/a
The Sky Is Falling Portfolio -0.27% -1.30% -0.98% -2.12% -3.34% 16.38% n/a
Socially Responsible ETFdb Portfolio 0.70% -0.98% 5.46% 9.45% 8.85% n/a n/a
Risk On ETFdb Portfolio 1.05% 1.51% 11.70% n/a n/a n/a n/a
Consumer Centric ETFdb Portfolio 0.61% 0.27% 6.86% n/a n/a n/a n/a
Agri-Bull ETFdb Portfolio 0.60% 0.54% 3.54% 8.62% 5.92% n/a n/a
8% Yield ETFdb Portfolio 0.23% -0.31% 5.55% n/a n/a n/a n/a
Mining Boom ETFdb Portfolio 1.05% -0.44% 11.91% n/a n/a n/a n/a
As Of 11-01-2012

Disclosure: No positions at time of writing.

Click here to read the original article on ETFdb.com.


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SDI Glossary: "Yield" Definition
This Article's Word Cloud:   Centric   Cheapskate   ETFdb   Europe   Free   Friday   Hedge   High   Ideas   Long   Portfolio   Portfolios   Pure   Retire   Retirement   This   Thursday   Trade   Wall   Wednesday   Week   Year   Years   above   after   align   behind   both   center   data   date   drifted   encouraging   gains   gold   ideas   left   level   lower   portfolioGroup   portfolioNameCol   posted   pressures   profit   taking   text   took   trading   week   year

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